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Stocks Pick of The Week - Stock Market Faces Murky September Outlook Amid Heightened Uncertainties

Written by Fullerton Research | Sep 4, 2023 9:23:17 AM

Following a tumultuous August, investors brace themselves for what history deems a stormy September. As the financial landscape continues shifting, a constellation of factors demands investor attention: the Federal Reserve's impending interest rate decisions, the enduring grip of inflation, and pivotal economic data relating to employment and price pressures.

The spectre of the Federal Reserve's resolute policy decisions looms large, potentially injecting further volatility into the market. The stock market, marked by the turbulence witnessed throughout August, shows no signs of settling, with expectations of sustained instability in September. This unease stems from the market's anticipation of an economic deceleration triggered by the delayed repercussions of the Fed's previous interest rate hikes, exacerbated by soaring mortgage rates that bear down on the housing sector.

Prudence is the watchword for traders, as prevailing market conditions paint risk assets as "relatively expensively valued." Moreover, subtle indications of an economic slowdown have begun to surface. This caution is underscored by the lingering prospect of additional rate hikes, contingent upon forthcoming economic data.

While the Federal Reserve is inclined to hold off on rate hikes, given moderating inflation and waning manufacturing activity, immediate rate cuts are not expected.

Amazon: Forging Alliances with Shopify

Amazon, the e-commerce and cloud computing juggernaut, continues its impressive run of consecutive monthly gains. Recent developments have seen Amazon.com Inc. and Shopify Inc. entering a strategic partnership. This collaboration grants merchants utilising Shopify's e-commerce tools access to Amazon's extensive logistics network.

Notably, Amazon's "Buy with Prime" feature will soon become an integral component of Shopify's offerings for its US-based merchants. The rollout commenced in August for select Shopify sellers and is slated for widespread availability to all Shopify merchants by the conclusion of September, according to a statement by Amazon.

Tesla: Battling Fierce Competition in China

Tesla has unveiled a refreshed iteration of its immensely popular Model 3 sedan, characterised by an enhanced aesthetic and extended range. However, the new variant comes with a more substantial price tag than anticipated, marking a competitive challenge in China's electric vehicle market, where local rivals are gaining ground.

This revamped four-door sedan boasts an impressive single-charge range of 606 kilometres (377 miles) and carries a price tag starting at 259,900 yuan ($35,800) in the largest Asian economy. This figure represents a 12% increase compared to the previous version, which commenced at 231,900 yuan and featured a range of 556 kilometres.

Microsoft: Navigating European Antitrust Challenges

In a strategic move aimed at averting further European Union antitrust scrutiny, Microsoft Corp. has announced plans to disentangle its Teams video-conferencing application from a broader suite of business software. Effective October 1, Teams will be separated from Microsoft 365 and Office 365 offerings across Europe. This manoeuvre is orchestrated in response to the heightened antitrust spotlight in the region, aiming to mitigate potential regulatory concerns surrounding Microsoft's business practices. Nanna-Louise Linde, Microsoft's Vice-President for European Government Affairs, made this announcement via a recent blog post, solidifying the tech giant's commitment to navigating the intricate European regulatory landscape.

Fullerton Markets Research Team

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